Joseph Murphy on LinkedIn: Housing Market Forecast for 2024 Elevated mortgage rates, out-of-reach… (2024)

Joseph Murphy

Bay Head Barnacle. Just trying to figure it all out by searching for a cosmic connection between nature, my pictures of the sunrise in particular, and the stock market for that day. Hope you enjoy.

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Housing Market Forecast for 2024 Elevated mortgage rates, out-of-reach home prices and record-low housing stock are the perennial weeds that experts say hopeful home buyers can expect to contend with this spring—and beyond. “The housing market is likely to continue to face the dual affordability constraints of high home prices and elevated interest rates in 2024,” said Doug Duncan, senior vice president and chief economist at Fannie Mae, in an emailed statement. “Hotter-than-expected inflation data and strong payroll numbers are likely to apply more upward pressure to mortgage rates this year than we’d previously forecast.” “If the 2020-2021 housing market was too hot, then the 2023 market was probably too cold, but 2024 won’t yet be just right,” Fleming said in his 2024 forecast. We’re definitely looking forward to a better housing market in 2024 as interest rates start to settle around 6% or even lower. - Forbes

  • Joseph Murphy on LinkedIn: Housing Market Forecast for 2024 Elevated mortgage rates, out-of-reach… (2)
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    Housing Market Forecast for 2024 Elevated mortgage rates, out-of-reach home prices and record-low housing stock are the perennial weeds that experts say hopeful home buyers can expect to contend with this spring—and beyond. “The housing market is likely to continue to face the dual affordability constraints of high home prices and elevated interest rates in 2024,” said Doug Duncan, senior vice president and chief economist at Fannie Mae, in an emailed statement. “Hotter-than-expected inflation data and strong payroll numbers are likely to apply more upward pressure to mortgage rates this year than we’d previously forecast.” “If the 2020-2021 housing market was too hot, then the 2023 market was probably too cold, but 2024 won’t yet be just right,” Fleming said in his 2024 forecast. We’re definitely looking forward to a better housing market in 2024 as interest rates start to settle around 6% or even lower. - Forbes

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Joseph Murphy on LinkedIn: Housing Market Forecast for 2024 Elevated mortgage rates, out-of-reach… (31)

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Joseph Murphy on LinkedIn: Housing Market Forecast for 2024 

Elevated mortgage rates, out-of-reach… (2024)

FAQs

What is the mortgage rate forecast for 2024? ›

Mortgage rate predictions 2024

The MBA's forecast suggests that 30-year mortgage rates will fall into the 6.4% to 6.7% range throughout the rest of 2024, and Fannie Mae is forecasting the same. NAR believes rates will average 7.1% this quarter and fall to 6.5% by the end of 2024.

Will 2024 be a good year to buy a house? ›

NAR forecasts that sales will rise by 13 percent in 2024. “Housing sales are expected to increase a bit from this year,” agrees Chen Zhao, who leads the economics team at Redfin. “However,” she qualifies, “we are not expecting sales to increase dramatically, as rates are likely to remain above 6 percent.”

What will mortgage interest rates be in 2025? ›

By the final quarter of 2025, Fannie Mae expects that to slide to 6.0%. Meanwhile, Wells Fargo's model expects 5.8%, and the Mortgage Bankers Association estimates 5.5%. ResiClub takes all forecasts with a grain of salt.

Are mortgage rates going up or down? ›

But until the Fed sees evidence of slowing economic growth, interest rates will stay higher for longer. The 30-year fixed mortgage rate is expected to fall to the mid-6% range through the end of 2024, potentially dipping into high-5% territory by the end of 2025.

What is the prime rate forecast for 2024? ›

Percent Per Year, Average of Month.
MonthDateForecast Value
1May 20248.50
2Jun 20248.50
3Jul 20248.50
4Aug 20248.50
5 more rows
7 days ago

Will auto interest rates go down in 2024? ›

McBride shares that while the high-rate environment will persist, rates will ease for most borrowers in 2024. Increased competition between lenders may help drivers secure a good rate. However, he warns, “don't expect auto loan rates to fall enough to offset the increases we've seen over the past couple of years.”

Is it better to buy a house when interest rates are high? ›

The bottom line. Today's elevated mortgage rate environment isn't preferable for homebuyers, but it doesn't mean that you should refrain from acting, either. If you discover your dream home, can afford the interest rate, find an affordable house, or have an alternative to rent, it can be worth it for you now.

Will 2026 be a good year to buy a house? ›

However, increases should slow between 2024 and 2026, and rates may even decline in 2027. Among the factors that could impact mortgage rates in the next 5 years are inflation, Federal Reserve policy, and economic growth. Homebuyers should consider locking in a low mortgage rate now, as rates are expected to rise soon.”

Is real estate a good investment in 2024? ›

With high rates often translating to higher rents, investors may find 2024 to be an ideal time to invest in real estate.

Will mortgage rates ever be 3% again? ›

After all, higher rates equate to higher minimum payments. So, you may be wondering if, and when, mortgage rates might fall to 3% or lower again - and whether or not it's worth waiting to buy a home until they do. Although rates could fall to 3% again one day, it's not likely to happen any time soon.

How many years will mortgage rates stay high? ›

In its most recent forecast, the Mortgage Bankers Association predicted that 30-year rates could drop to 6.4% by the end of this year, and that they may finally drop below 6% by the end of 2025.

What is the mortgage rate forecast for 2026? ›

The 10-year treasury constant maturity rate in the U.S. is forecast to decline by 0.8 percent by 2026, while the 30-year fixed mortgage rate is expected to fall by 1.6 percent. From seven percent in the third quarter of 2023, the average 30-year mortgage rate is projected to reach 5.4 percent in 2026.

How to get the lowest mortgage rate? ›

8 steps to get the best mortgage rates
  1. Improve your credit score. ...
  2. Build a steady employment record. ...
  3. Save up for a down payment. ...
  4. Understand your debt-to-income ratio. ...
  5. Check out different mortgage loan types and terms. ...
  6. Consider paying mortgage points. ...
  7. Compare offers from multiple mortgage lenders. ...
  8. Lock in your mortgage rate.
Feb 26, 2024

Why did my mortgage go up if I have a fixed rate? ›

The benefit of a fixed-rate mortgage is that your interest rate stays consistent. But your monthly mortgage bill can still change — in fact, it generally fluctuates at least a little bit every year. Rising home values and insurance premiums have caused unusually dramatic increases for some homeowners in recent years.

What is a good mortgage rate for 30 year fixed? ›

Today's 30 Year Fixed Mortgage Rates
ProductTodayLast Week
30 Year Fixed Average6.62%6.58%
Conforming6.81%6.76%
FHA5.97%5.95%
Jumbo4.00%4.02%
4 more rows

What is the mortgage interest rate forecast for 2026? ›

The 10-year treasury constant maturity rate in the U.S. is forecast to decline by 0.8 percent by 2026, while the 30-year fixed mortgage rate is expected to fall by 1.6 percent. From seven percent in the third quarter of 2023, the average 30-year mortgage rate is projected to reach 5.4 percent in 2026.

When to lock in mortgage rate? ›

The ideal time to lock your mortgage rate is when interest rates are at their lowest, but this is hard to predict — even for the experts. It's worth noting that interest rates could decrease during your lock period. Should this happen, you'll most likely have to pay the rate you initially locked in.

Is a 4.25 interest rate good for a savings account? ›

What is a good interest rate on a savings account? It indicates an expandable section or menu, or sometimes previous / next navigation options. Right now, 4.40% APY or higher is a good rate on a savings account. The best high-yield savings accounts pay up to 6.17% APY right now, and many banks have 5% savings accounts.

Can you negotiate mortgage rates? ›

Are mortgage rates negotiable? Yes, to some degree, mortgage interest rates are negotiable. Mortgage lenders have some flexibility when it comes to the rates they offer. However, in many cases getting a lower rate on your loan will come with a price, such as paying “points” to get a lower rate.

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